With the help of UFCollective DraftKings possession projections, I will parse developments affecting roster charges in massive GPP/event fields.
NFL Week 11 DFS Possession: Quarterback
Drew Brees ($6,500) and Carson Wentz ($6,300) might each hit double-digit possession because of Superdome stacks. UFCollective tasks Brees because the frontrunner for prime chalk at quarterback, so you’ll do nicely to enhance Saints stacks with contrarian performs.
Andrew Luck ($5,900) and Marcus Mariota ($5,500) current cheaper keystones for a substitute for what must be the extra standard Eagles-Saints stack. In the event you’re betting on the over at that different dome in Indy, then you might construct a more cost effective sport stack of gamers with comparable market shares.
NFL Week 11 DFS Possession: Working Again
Alvin Kamara ($8,200) within the Superdome with a one-score unfold? Yeah, you may ebook that for chalk. … It was will likely be fascinating to see if Melvin Gordon ($8,900) manages to prime 20-percent owned after assuming the perch as costliest play on slate. … Appears that James Conner ($7,200) can not fly underneath the radar no matter matchup, as he is priced at nicely underneath $8K.
Kerryon Johnson ($5,800) probably will get the fade for taking part in RB on a squad struggling just like the Lions have just lately, although it is value noting he ranks second amongst backs in targets over the previous three weeks. … Josh Adams ($3,300) most likely will not sniff double-digit roster charge and makes for a YOLO cap-saving swing after indications his workload would improve.
NFL Week 11 DFS Possession: Vast Receiver
Michael Thomas ($8,800) completes the moderately chalky Saints trifecta. If it goes off, you may need on that prepare however — once more — with a pair low-owned smashes to floor above the pack in tournaments/GPPs. … Odell Beckham ($8400) is getting elite elite quantity in maybe the league’s greatest WR matchup, and at $400 of Thomas might leap him in roster charge.
Antonio Brown ($7,800) looks as if an automated slam when the looming matchup is not Jalen Ramsey — and possibly additionally when he is seeing Ramsey. It ought to supply good polling on how a lot DK customers worth more durable CB matchups in tournaments, although with some noise since Ramsey and the entire Jags protection goes by a tough patch. Maybe this matchup even pushes extra shares to JuJu Smith Schuster ($6,800) within the slot.
NFL Week 11 DFS Possession: Tight Finish
Reeling in 14 catches the week prior will get folks on board, and Zach Ertz ($6,600) could possibly be close to quarter-owned on a Kelce- and Kittle-free slate. He’ll be focused for a combo of ground and upside amongst the TE wasteland.
Jared Prepare dinner ($3,900) has creeped into the $5Ks earlier this season and topped 30 DK a number of occasions, nevertheless it must be fingers off Raiders in massive fields… Jordan Reed ($3,800) might repay if home-dog Washington falls behind, as Houston presents a tricky slot matchup with Kareem Jackson and the surface WR state of affairs is dire.