Week 11 NFL picks in opposition to unfold: Vikings nip Bears; Saints stomp Eagles | NFL


Week 11 within the NFL brings one other mega bye week with six groups not in motion, giving us solely 13 video games on the schedule. Given the Patriots are the one good crew amongst these with bye weeks, the double-digit level spreads which have dominated earlier weeks are lengthy gone. That makes the predictions more durable this week with a whole lot of robust toss-up video games.

Right here is your fearless forecast for Week 11 — as typical, for leisure functions solely. (Sport traces courtesy of Bovada.)

Week 11 NFL picks straight up

Week 11 NFL picks in opposition to the unfold

(All instances ET)

Sport of the Midweek: Inexperienced Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks (-3)

Thursday 8:20 p.m., Fox

Aaron Rodgers vs. Russell Wilson makes for a enjoyable Thursday night time affair, however even with their elite quarterbacks, these groups are actually devoted to the run. The Packers’ Aaron Jones and the Seahawks’ possible fill-in committee of Mike Davis and Rashaad Penny can have success, so it comes right down to which QB can have higher safety. Wilson will get the sting at house, and his personal working will make the distinction.

PICK: Seahawks win 31-27 and canopy the unfold.

Sport of the Week: Kansas Metropolis Chiefs at Los Angeles Rams (-2.5)

Monday 8:15 p.m., ESPN

The Chiefs are hoping to get former Ram Sammy Watkins again to assist Patrick Mahomes, whereas Jared Goff is aware of he might be with out Cooper Kupp for the remainder of the season. Kareem Hunt and Todd Gurley can have an epic battle, making a backfield wash. So it’s as much as which QB can use his mobility to make extra massive performs downfield. Mahomes is the higher strong-armed athlete and has extra big-play targets, led by the tireless Tyreek Hill, an enormous asset that may additional burn former Chief Marcus Peters if wanted. Kansas Metropolis will take pleasure in a much bigger scoring fiesta and it would not matter that the sport is now in L.A.

PICK: Chiefs win 41-38.

NFC Sport of the Week: Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears (-3)

Sunday 8:20 p.m., NBC

The Bears are good at beating up unhealthy groups, particularly within the pleasant confines of Solider Subject. However they are often too pass-reliant with Mitchell Trubisky at instances, even when it’s not working. They received’t be capable of run properly on Minnesota, and the Vikings’ move rush and corners will make it tough on Trubisky. The Vikings can do extra out of the backfield with a wholesome Dalvin Cook dinner and Latavius Murray, and each Stefon Diggs and Adam Theilen might be a handful for Chicago’s secondary.

PICK: Vikings win 24-20.

Lock of the Week: New Orleans Saints (-9) over Philadelphia Eagles

Sunday 4:25 p.m., Fox

SN’s decide to win Tremendous Bowl 53 is wanting nice to deal with enterprise in opposition to the reeling Tremendous Bowl 52 champions. The Eagles’ secondary is a large number, and final week, their once-reliable run protection was shredded by Ezekiel Elliott. Each of these developments are a nightmare forward of a recreation in opposition to Drew Brees, Michael Thomas, Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram. On the opposite facet, the Saints can cease the run, include Zach Ertz and get after Carson Wentz, as Philadelphia lacks the speedy deep risk wanted to burn New Orleans’ secondary.

PICK: Saints win 38-24 and canopy the unfold.

Chiefs, Steelers match 1-2 punch of Rams, Saints

Remainder of the Week:
Carolina Panthers (-4) at Detroit Lions

Sunday 1 p.m., Fox

The Panthers should not nearly as good of a defensive crew on the street, and that may permit the lowly Lions to linger with younger offensive stars Kerryon Johnson and Kenny Golladay. Cam Newton and Christian McCaffrey, will be tough for Detroit to decelerate on the bottom, nevertheless, and Carolina will really feel good taking some play-action pictures within the passing recreation. This nonetheless looks like a field-goal escape at Ford Subject.

PICK: Panthers win 27-24 however fail to cowl the unfold.

Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens (TBD)

Sunday 1 p.m., Fox

The Ravens might be staring Lamar Jackson at quarterback for the primary time given Joe Flacco’s damage. That’s an excellent factor, as a result of it can make Baltimore extra centered on working the ball and utilizing a number of tight ends to help Jackson and Alex Collins in opposition to a struggling Cincinnati entrance seven. Andy Dalton will proceed wanting principally misplaced with out A.J. Inexperienced.

PICK: Ravens win 30-20.

Dallas Cowboys at Atlanta Falcons (-3)

Sunday 1 p.m., Fox

The Cowboys ought to really feel assured about Dak Prescott, Ezekiel Elliott and the remainder of the offense in a great all-around matchup. The Falcons wrestle with explosive backs, however their back-end move protection will get a wanted break in opposition to a capped receiving corps. Dallas can hold Atlanta’s offense in verify for some time, main with Byron Jones on Julio Jones, however finally, Matt Ryan will hit his groove at house to complete a comeback effort.

PICK: Falcons win 27-23 and canopy the unfold.

Houston Texans (-3) at Washington Redskins

Sunday 1 p.m., CBS

The Texans and Redskins each have stunning two-game leads within the NFL’s two weakest divisions. This units as much as be an unpleasant recreation stuffed with sacks and little conventional dashing success given the state of each offensive traces and the power of each defensive fronts. Washington has a knack for successful ugly video games, particularly at house, by merely defending the ball.

PICK: Redskins win 20-16.

Pittsburgh Steelers (-6) at Jacksonville Jaguars

Sunday 1 p.m., CBS

The Steelers are red-hot offensively, and the Jaguars have gone chilly defensively. However determined Jacksonville will dig deep to search out among the success it had in opposition to Pittsburgh twice final season. The move rush and Leonard Fournette will hold the hosts in one other recreation earlier than their once-prideful secondary succumbs late to Antonio Brown and JuJu Smith-Schuster.

PICK: Steelers win 31-26 however fail to cowl the unfold.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New York Giants (TBD)

Sunday 1 p.m., Fox

Ryan Fitzpatrick or Eli Manning? Simply if you suppose you may return to trusting certainly one of these mid-30s quarterbacks, they allow you to down. Fitzpatrick was a turnover mess at house final week regardless of massive yardage, whereas Manning is enjoying just a little higher coming off his first three-TD effort of the season. Between Saquon Barkley, Odell Beckham Jr., Sterling Shepard and Evan Engram, Manning will get extra assist than Fitzpatrick will get with Peyton Barber, Mike Evans, DeSean Jackson and O.J. Howard.

PICK: Giants win 27-24.

Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts (-2)

Sunday 1 p.m., CBS

Marcus Mariota and Andrew Luck are each enjoying at a excessive stage and getting loads of assist from their offensive traces, numerous weapons and deep working video games. The Titans have a protection constructed to cease the run and include tight ends and can be capable of stress Luck, one thing current Indianapolis opponents haven’t completed. The Colts have been scrappy in opposition to the run, however Mariota, Dion Lewis and Derrick Henry will get the higher of the hosts on the bottom.

PICK: Titans win 34-27.

MORE: NFL energy rankings for Week 11

Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers (-7)

Sunday 4:05 p.m., CBS

The Broncos are coming off their bye attempting to save lots of Vance Joseph’s job by ending sturdy, particularly offensively with their working recreation. The Chargers, nevertheless, have dumped on weak opponents all season, as Philip Rivers and Melvin Gordon have confronted little defensive resistance. Case Keenum will as soon as once more make key errors in opposition to an opportunistic move protection.

PICK: Chargers win 27-17 and canopy the unfold.

Oakland Raiders at Arizona Cardinals (-4)

Sunday 4:05 p.m. CBS

The Raiders appear to be they’ve given up offensively, as Doug Martin and Jared Cook dinner are the one issues going whereas Derek Carr feels virtually non-existent. The Cardinals have rediscovered their juice as Byron Leftwich continues to deploy David Johnson appropriately. Arizona’s protection has been enjoying properly of late and can make sure that the Raiders dry up within the desert earlier than they get used to enjoying there in Las Vegas.

PICK: Cardinals win 27-10 and canopy the unfold.

Final week’s document straight up: 8-6
Final week’s document in opposition to the unfold: 7-6
Season document straight up: 93-52
Season document in opposition to the unfold: 67-74

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